NCAAB 02/15/12

Chattanooga @ Appalachian State
Suggestion: Appalachian State -4.5

App State comes into this game with the negligibly better overall record, the better conference record and a 7-5 record at home, while Chattanooga is yet to win on the road (0-12). In their meeting in January Chattanooga eeked out a two point victory in Tennessee, but they clearly benefited from some home cooking as they went to the line 25 times to App State's 9, and outscored them by 12 from the charity stripe. I wouldn't expect nearly that type of discrepancy with the game moving to Boone, and I expect the Mountaineers to cover a close line.

Temple @ Saint Bonaventure
Suggestion: Temple -1.5

Saint Bonaventure has had a hell of a year at home, going 9-1, but taking a look under the hood points to a temple victory. The Owls have the better overall record, are two games better in conference, are an impressive 7-3 on the road, and come into this game having won 8 in a row. They've won 11 in a row against the Bonnies, and have covered 10 out of those 11 games. They beat them by 28 points just last month. Saint Bonaventure is an improving squad, but can they improve by 26 points in 4 weeks to cover this spread? It's possible, but I'm betting against it.