Sunday, June 10, 2012

Toronto Blue Jays at Atlanta Braves
Suggestion: Atlanta Braves (+106)

I could sum up this play in one sentence; that in the last eight contests between these two teams Atlanta has won all of them, by a combined score of 36-12. The Braves, currently on a six-game streak, are putting Julio Teheran on the mound today, in his first start of the 2012 season. With only three starts in his career prior to today, I can't think of a better situation for him to take the mound. I'm backing him and the red hot Braves today. Invest in the Atlanta Braves (+106)

Kansas City Royals at Pittsburgh Pirates (-123)
Suggestion: Pittsburgh Pirates (-123)

I'm betting against the KC Royals and their anemic offense (eight runs in their last four games) this afternoon. Pittsburgh (18-11 at home) has won seven of their last nine games, and starter AJ Burnett has performed brilliantly at PNC Park this year (3-0, 0.85 WHIP, 1.56 ERA, 13 hits, 17.1 innings pitched). Opposing pitcher Bruce Chen pitches poorly in the daytime (7.82 ERA, 1.82 WHIP, 17 hits, 12.2 IP) and that's enough to get involved.

Washington Nationals at Boston Red Sox (+154)
Suggestion: Washington Nationals (+154)

Jon Lester is having a tough run this year at home (1-2, 6.42 ERA, 1.66 WHIP). and Washington's Jon Zimmeran pitches his best in the daytime (0.95 WHIP, 14 K's, 0 BB). With Washington getting a huge underdog bonus, and Boston reeling on this homestand, winning only one of five, the Nationals are clearly the best value of the afternoon. Invest in the Washington Nationals (+154)

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Wednesday, May 23, 2012

LA Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks Suggestion: LA Dodgers (+111)

I'm going right back to the well tonight, as the Dodgers are again the hotter team (they've won six in a row), against an overrated home team (the D-Backs are now 7-14 at Chase Field) with an obvious starting pitching mismatch. The Dodgers would be heavily favored tonight if this game were played in Los Angeles, where they are 19-4. But they are still a respectable 11-9 on the road, while the D-Backs have yet to match the huge strides they made back in 2011. Ted Lilly's last game against Arizona is similar to his last start, both times allowing 0 runs over 7 innings pitched. Joe Saunders lost four of his last six starts against LA, giving up five runs and nine hits over 6.0 innings in his last trip to the mound against them. With the Dodgers batting a respectable .259 against lefties (vs. .239 for the D-Backs), I'm taking them yet again tonight. Invest in the LA Dodgers (+111)

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Tuesday, May 22, 2012

Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks
Suggestion: Los Angeles Dodgers

For many of the same reasons as last night, I'm going to back the Dodgers again this evening. Aaron Harang is the better starting pitcher, and has pitched well in his career against Arizona. Trevor Cahill has lost all three games at home, posted a 6.58 ERA, and the D-Backs are not even a .500 team at Chase Field. I'm putting my money on the better team tonight. Invest in the Los Angeles Dodgers (+120)

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