NCAAB 02/08/11

Southern Miss @ UAB
Suggestion: Southern Miss -2

After losing three small-lined road favorites in a row, we're due for a break here, and Southern Miss should be the team to reverse our course. The big numbers we're looking at here are the overall records. Southern Miss is 20-3 while UAB is 9-13. Breaking that down into conference records still doesn't help UAB's cause, as they're 4-5 in C-USA while Southern Miss is dominating the conference and comes into this game with a 7-1 record. Even at home UAB is below .500 at 5-7, while SM has been very good on the road, going 7-2. Southern Miss is also red hot, having won 9 out of their last 10, with the only loss being a 2 point defeat at Memphis. Ride the lightning and invest in Southern Miss as a tiny favorite.

St. Bonaventure @ UMass
Suggestion: Umass -4

UMass has the better overall record, the better conference record, and are undefeated at home. They've pretty much been a team that wins the games they're supposed to win and loses the games they're supposed to lose. They rarely rise or fall to the level of their opponent, they are what they are, a decent mid-conference team who plays much better at home. There are a few match-up issues that are reason for concern, mainly that St. Bonaventure is a slightly better team in terms of fundamentals, and UMass comes in with 2 injuries that could affect their depth, but given the small line we're taking a chance with the Minutemen.