NCAAB 02/12/12

Illinois @ Michigan
Suggestion: Michigan -5.5

Michigan is 13-0 at home this season and hold both a better overall record and conference record than Illinois. Michigan has already beaten Wisconsin, Michigan State and Indiana at home, while Illinois has struggled on the road, going 2-5, and are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Michigan has the advantage both offensively and defensively, and with a small line we're going Red Dawn style and rolling with the Wolverines.

Stanford @ USC
Suggestion: Stanford -5.5

There's really no overstating how awful USC has been this year. They're 6-19 overall and 8-16 ATS (2-12 ATS in their last 14 home games). They're 1-11 in the conference and only 4-10 at home. They're 1-9 in their last 10. They've averaged 53 PPG (shooting 39% from the field) and are decimated by injuries. They've lost at home to a putrid Arizona State team by 9 points and lost at home to Colorado by 24, despite being favored in both those games. In their last game Cal blew them out by 26.

Stanford, while not without their own flaws, comes into this game averaging nearly 20 points more per game and have managed a .500 conference record, which makes them a decent bet to cover 5.5 here.