NCAAB 02/07/12

Creighton @ Evansville
Suggestion: Creighton -5.5

Well here we are riding another road favorite, a habit that we're not proud of, but one that we just can't quit. Yet again this game looks great on paper. Creighton is 21-3 while Evansville is below .500. Creighton is 11-2 in conference, while Evansville is 6-7. Creighton has a much better offense and a much better defense. They're ranked #1 in the country in FG%, shooting over 51% per game, #1 in the country in 3 point shooting percentage and #7 in PPG. Evansville, meanwhile, is #292 in the country in PPG allowed. Creighton has advantages all over the court, other than Evansville holding an insignificant free throw shooting edge. Creighton has beaten them heads up 6 times in a row and 9 times out of the last 10. There's nothing here that indicates Evansville will cover the spread. That being said, this game falls right before Creighton has a huge match up with Wichita State, so there's always the chance that they sleepwalk through this one, much like Missouri did last night at Oklahoma. But with so many indicators in the Blue Jays' favor, I'm laying the points and taking Creighton to win by at least 6.