Wednesday, April 12, 2012

Los Angeles Angels at Minnesota Twins
Suggestion: Los Angeles Angels (-172)

This game is outside of my usual price range, but I'll take it tonight and wager on one of baseball's best starters, and against a truly anemic offense. Jered Weaver is a top-tier starter, and he's at his best in the months of March and April, when hitters are still behind pitchers. The numbers don't lie, he is flat out dominant early on; 11-1, 1.83 ERA, .211 average allowed from before may from 2009-2011. His last outing was more of the same, 8 innings, 4 hits, 10 K's, no walks. Anything close to that performance tonight will win this game. And the Twins bring very little offensive firepower to the table, with a total of six runs in four games, all losses. And with manager Ron Gardenhire juggling lineups in hopes of creating some kind of spark, the realization is setting in that there will be a long season ahead for the Twins. Before it becomes too pricey to bet against them, I'll gladly take a small payout with this high-percentage play. Invest in the Los Angeles Angels (-172)