Tuesday, April 10, 2012

Washington Nationals at New York Mets (-112)
Suggestion: New York Mets (-112)

The Nationals have become, along with the Marlins, the NL's team du jour, a team that the public considers to be on the rise. Thus they are getting a ton of respect early in the year. The Mets, who were supposed to take 2012 as a rebuilding year, are the lone undefeated team left in the NL. We'll take them as a light favorite today to keep on winning at home.

Besides the unexpected run from NY, including a solid start by much-maligned David Wright (7 hits, 4 walks, 12 at-bats) much of this wager rests on starter Dillon Gee. He hit the 'wall' big time last year, as his pre and post All-Star stats suggest (8-3, 2.76, .222 before; 5-3, 5.25, .277 after). He also held the Nationals bats to a .222 average while winning both starts against them last year, while Detweiler performed poorly against the Mets, 0-1, 8 ER in 10 innings. I'm banking on the Mets to tear off win number 5 tonight, and stay undefeated. Invest in the New York Mets (-112)