April 6, 2012

St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers
Suggestion: St. Louis Cardinals (+110)

We are backing the World Champs again today, grabbing another underdog price as we take advantage of Jaime Garcia in this particular setting. While Milwaukee's Yovani Gallardo has excellent statistics at home, he is only 13-15 as a daytime pitcher (31-14 at night). Garcia has been spectacular in April over the last three years with a 5-1 record, a 1.60 ERA allowing a .208 average against. Against the Cardinals, Gallardo is 1-6 with a 4.91 ERA since 2009. Again, I'll take my chance with the Cardinals and the bonus. Invest in the St. Louis Cardinals (+110)


Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics
Suggestion: Oakland Athletics (-144)

We are looking at a stark difference in how these two starting pitchers perform in home and away settings. Seattle starter Jason Vargas is 16-15 with a 3.86 ERA .247 at home, 6-16 with a 4.86 ERA and .277 away since 2009. He's winless in five lackluster starts at Oakland. By contrast Brandon McCarthy brings was 6-3/2.65/.249 at home last year. Against Seattle he went 1-3 last year, but a closer look at the numbers shows a 39:4 strikeout to walk ratio with an outstanding 0.71 WHIP. Oakland is favored, and has a much better chance of winning than this price reflects. Invest in the Oakland Athletics (-144)